TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - More Markets

Volume:
$1,004,385
Outcome
Chance %
Price
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Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Description

This event group covers a UEFA Champions League match between Real Madrid CF and Sport Lisboa e Benfica scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score prop across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official UEFA.com final score, 90-minute regulation time only, postponement handling (remain open), cancellation handling (50-50 split), and consistent goal-count thresholds for all market types.

Primary resolution logic:

UEFA.com official final score

Core resolution logic:

  • Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5) resolves YES if Real Madrid wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Spread: Benfica (-1.5) resolves YES if Benfica wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5) resolves YES if Real Madrid wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Spread: Benfica (-2.5) resolves YES if Benfica wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2; Under if combined goals < 2
  • Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3; Under if combined goals < 3
  • Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4; Under if combined goals < 4
  • Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5; Under if combined goals < 5
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each; No if either team scores 0 goals

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match final score is official.
  • Match Cancellation (No Make-up): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split equally between Yes and No outcomes).
  • Match Started But Not Completed: Markets resolve according to the official final score published on UEFA.com for the completed portion; if abandoned before completion, treat as cancellation with no make-up (50-50 resolution).
  • Extra Time and Penalties: Only goals scored in the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all market resolutions.

Timing:

Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on UEFA.com following the completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on February 25, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.