TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Volume:
$11,286,109
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Real Madrid CF and Sport Lisboa e Benfica scheduled for February 25, 2026. Three binary markets track whether Real Madrid wins, Benfica wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve on the same match outcome measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official UEFA match records and real-time match data as of February 25, 2026Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the official match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Real Madrid win, Benfica win, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No; Kalshi does not specify but implies no resolution occurs without a played match
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves the draw market to Yes and both win markets to No. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario
- Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the outcome
- Scope Clarity: All markets refer only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, not to any knockout stage continuation
Timing:
Resolution occurs on or after February 25, 2026, following the completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the matchOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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