TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between Real Madrid CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Real Madrid win, Real Sociedad win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves a canceled game (no make-up) as No for win markets and Yes for draw market. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause and implies all outcomes require game completion.Hero Tip:
Monitor La Liga official communications for postponement or cancellation notices. If a cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw positions will resolve Yes while Kalshi positions face resolution ambiguity. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three independent binary markets covering all outcomes. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Cancellation with no make-up: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Single three-outcome market (Tie, Real Madrid, Real Sociedad). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Implies game must be completed for any resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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