TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
polymarket
kalshi

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Volume:
$5,136,012

Real Madrid

 - Kalshi

Real Madrid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$24,468
$1,150,306
N/A
N/A
$848,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Sociedad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$30,456
$440,638
N/A
N/A
$345,328
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$36,611
$166,727
N/A
N/A
$105,290
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Madrid CF

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,095,628
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$758,463
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$524,251
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the La Liga match between Real Madrid CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Real Madrid win, Real Sociedad win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves a canceled game (no make-up) as No for win markets and Yes for draw market. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause and implies all outcomes require game completion.Hero tip: Monitor La Liga official communications for postponement or cancellation notices. If a cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw positions will resolve Yes while Kalshi positions face resolution ambiguity. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets covering all outcomes. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Cancellation with no make-up: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (Tie, Real Madrid, Real Sociedad). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Implies game must be completed for any resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.