TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano?

Volume:
$1,677,355

O/U 4.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 5:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$140,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5

99%
62%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$47,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$124,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,960
$15,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$123,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

99%
49%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,960
$18,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$80,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$79,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

97%
25%
Yes 97¢No 3¢
—
$3,964
$4,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$41,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

99%
23%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,960
$39,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Both Teams to Score

99%
51%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$8,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$9
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 1.5

99%
7%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1
$1,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid CF 1st Half (-1.5)

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 52

Intro

This market tracks the Over/Under 2.5 goals outcome for the Real Madrid CF versus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid La Liga match. Currently, the consensus probability of Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 is 99.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Polymarket and Predict, with resolution based on the official final score published on laliga.com. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 12th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently define resolution based on official La Liga data, with clear fallback procedures and a 50/50 resolution for cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official final score published on laliga.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If official data isn't available within 2 hours, Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Canceled games resolve 50/50.
  • Revisions to official scores after resolution are not considered.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official data is unavailable, a tiered fallback system is used (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official final score is published on laliga.com, or within 24 hours if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 12 at 3:00 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 12 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on various outcomes related to the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,677,355, with $1,622,238 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Both Teams to Score in First Half at 100 percent, while Predict leans toward O/U 0.5. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the most likely results lie for this exciting La Liga contest and compare predictions across different venues.

Prediction market odds, as reflected on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. The volume of $1,677,355 suggests considerable interest in this market, potentially indicating a divergence from initial sportsbook offerings. Both types of odds provide valuable insights, but prediction markets can offer a unique perspective on the likely outcome of the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, influencing their trading decisions. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform—currently $1,677,355 overall—can affect price discovery. Polymarket currently favors Both Teams to Score in First Half at 100 percent, while Predict leans toward O/U 0.5. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market and the information incorporated by its traders regarding the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match.