TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on internal models and may incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official, final score of the first half of the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match. Any discrepancies will be assessed against official sources to ensure accuracy. The outcome of this market will be determined by the actual result of the game, not by any subjective interpretation or opinion.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching strategy for either Real Madrid or Rayo Vallecano could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts could also play a role. Major events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will undoubtedly cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.