TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Volume:
$2,083,621

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 4:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$517,318
N/A
N/A
$216,695
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)

100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

PSG

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$729,258
N/A
N/A
$365,882
Settled
No
polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain FC

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Madrid

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$667,599
N/A
N/A
$294,581
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Madrid CF Femenino

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Women's Champions League match between Real Madrid CF Femenino and Paris Saint-Germain FC. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on https://www.uefa.com/womenschampionsleague/. With a 0.1% probability, the second most likely outcome is a Real Madrid CF Femenino win. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 22, 2026, as the result will determine the final settlement of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, potentially leaving the market open or resolving based on event occurrence.Hero tip: Be aware that Kalshi markets may be more vulnerable to cancellation risk. Polymarket provides a defined outcome in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled with no make-up game. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official stats are unavailable within 2 hours. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result of the Real Madrid vs PSG professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 22, 2026 between Real Madrid CF Femenino and Paris Saint-Germain FC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the professional Champions League Womens soccer game between Real Madrid and PSG scheduled for Sep 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A Real Madrid win resolves the 'Real Madrid' market to Yes, a PSG win resolves the 'PSG' market to Yes, and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Real Madrid vs. PSG match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of a particular result, with a combined volume of $2,083,621 and 24-hour volume reaching $2,032,703. This allows traders to see how opinions are shifting and compare probabilities across different venues. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the market, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and reflecting a more accurate probability of events. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they diverge significantly from the prediction market prices.