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402,751

Markets across

30,217

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. AFC Ajax
kalshi
polymarket

Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. AFC Ajax

Volume:
$98,309

Reg Time: Real Madrid

 - Kalshi

Reg Time: Real Madrid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 4:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Real Madrid

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,375
N/A
N/A
$16,866
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid CF Femenino

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Ajax

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,859
N/A
N/A
$17,097
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,515
N/A
N/A
$13,616
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. AFC Ajax)

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AFC Ajax

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. AFC Ajax women's Champions League soccer match scheduled for September 2, 2026. The markets focus on determining whether Real Madrid wins, Ajax wins, or the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a tri-outcome market structure while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets, creating fundamental divergence in how match outcomes are resolvedHero tip: Avoid arbitrage strategies relying on both platforms simultaneously. Focus on one platform's resolution logic when trading outcomes. Monitor official match reports from UEFA for definitive resolution

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Real Madrid win? Will it end in a draw? Will Ajax win? Each resolves independently based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only
  • Kalshi: Single tri-outcome market that resolves to Yes if Real Madrid wins, Ajax wins, OR the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 2, 2026 between Real Madrid CF Femenino and AFC Ajax.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Real Madrid vs Ajax professional Champions League Women's soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Real Madrid wins in regulation time, the 'Real Madrid' market resolves to Yes. If Ajax wins in regulation time, the 'Ajax' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The markets do not consider extra time or penalty shootout results.