TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the Real Betis versus Barcelona La Liga soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of Barcelona winning is 92.0%, with a 6.0% probability of a Tie being the result. This aggregate view combines data from Opinion and Kalshi, and will resolve based on whether Barcelona wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official match result. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 17, 2026, to see if Barcelona secures a victory within the standard playing time.
Markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes; a tie resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price.
This market refers to the La Liga match between Real Betis (BET) and Barcelona (BAR), scheduled for 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC. - BET: If Real Betis wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAR: If Barcelona wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BET and BAR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Opinion, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing motivations of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information and potentially offering more efficient price discovery. While sportsbooks may adjust odds based on public betting patterns, this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals actively predicting the result, offering a distinct perspective.