TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga match between Real Betis Balompié and RC Celta de Vigo scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), point spreads for both teams at various margins (-1.5, -2.5), and a both-teams-to-score prop. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms resolve using the same official final score from La Liga, apply identical 90+stoppage-time windows, and handle postponements and cancellations consistently.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics (laliga.com); secondary fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours post-match (Polymarket specification).Core resolution logic:
- All outcome determinations are based on the combined or individual team goal totals and margin of victory as recorded in the official final match score.
- Resolution window is strictly the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve based on combined goals: Over if threshold is met or exceeded, Under if below.
- Spread markets resolve based on goal margin: Betis -1.5 resolves Yes if Betis wins by 2+; Betis -2.5 resolves Yes if Betis wins by 3+; Celta -1.5 resolves Yes if Celta wins by 2+; Celta -2.5 resolves Yes if Celta wins by 3+.
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least 1 goal; No if either team scores 0.
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
- If match is canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50.
- If match starts but is not completed, resolution uses the official final score published by La Liga.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. No early settlement occurs.
- Cancellation without makeup: All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes).
- Incomplete match: Resolution uses the official final score published by La Liga, regardless of whether the match was abandoned or completed.
- Official stats delay: If La Liga does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, Polymarket permits resolution via consensus of credible reporting; Kalshi does not specify a fallback mechanism but both platforms default to official sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official La Liga statistics are the trigger; if unavailable within 2 hours, Polymarket may use consensus reporting. Kalshi does not specify a time window but implies immediate resolution upon official publication.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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