TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between Real Betis Balompié and Panathinaikós AO.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers four markets on total goals scored (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three markets on match outcome (draw, Real Betis win, Panathinaikós win). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event dimensions: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal thresholds, whereas Polymarket settles on final match result (win/loss/draw).Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on total goals scored; if you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw. These are independent prediction dimensions. A Real Betis 2–1 victory resolves YES on Polymarket's 'Real Betis win' but could resolve YES or NO on Kalshi depending on which total-goals market you chose. Ensure your strategy aligns with the specific market dimension you intend to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal thresholds (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5 total goals) scored by both teams combined during 90 minutes plus stoppage time. All four markets resolve YES if the combined goal count exceeds the specified threshold, and NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Panathinaikos and Real Betis collectively score more than X total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on match outcome (draw, Real Betis win, or Panathinaikós win) during 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with special handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (draw market resolves YES, win markets resolve NO). Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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