TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Volume:
$905,904
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the La Liga soccer match between RCD Mallorca and Real Sociedad de Fútbol scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets track whether Mallorca wins, Real Sociedad wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has asymmetric cancellation logic (resolves YES on cancellation) while its win markets resolve NO, and Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. This creates divergent settlement outcomes if the match is canceled without a makeup game.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no makeup: Polymarket draw market pays YES, but Mallorca and Real Sociedad win markets pay NO. Kalshi's resolution is ambiguous without explicit cancellation terms. Confirm with each platform whether La Liga makeup games are mandatory, and request written clarification on cancellation scenarios before Feb 28, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Mallorca win (YES if Mallorca wins, NO otherwise), Real Sociedad win (YES if Real Sociedad wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Explicit cancellation clause: draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup; win markets resolve NO if canceled. All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: laliga.com.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets: If Tie wins, market resolves YES; if Mallorca wins, market resolves YES; if Real Sociedad wins, market resolves YES. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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