TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
RCD Mallorca will face Real Madrid CF in a La Liga match scheduled for April 4, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Mallorca win, a Real Madrid win, or a draw. All resolution criteria focus on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 4, 2026, using La Liga official statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics and the governing body's final match recordsCore resolution logic:
- Polymarket Market 1 (Draw) resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise.
- Polymarket Market 2 (Mallorca Win) resolves YES if Mallorca wins, NO otherwise.
- Polymarket Market 3 (Real Madrid Win) resolves YES if Real Madrid wins, NO otherwise.
- Kalshi Markets 1-3 collectively cover all three outcomes (Real Madrid win, Tie, Mallorca win), each resolving YES for its respective outcome.
- All markets measure only the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
- Exactly one outcome will occur, and exactly one market per platform will resolve YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open until the game is completed. Kalshi does not explicitly address postponement but implies resolution upon completion of the rescheduled match.
- Match Cancellation with No Make-up: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled entirely with no make-up game. Polymarket's Mallorca and Real Madrid win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation.
- Resolution Source Fallback: If La Liga does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, Polymarket permits resolution by consensus of credible reporting. Kalshi does not specify a fallback source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of the match on April 4, 2026, based on official La Liga statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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