TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
kalshi
polymarket

RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Volume:
$2,145,290

RCD Mallorca

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

RCD Mallorca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,345,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mallorca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110,576
N/A
N/A
$86,302
Settled
Yes
polymarket

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Espanyol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,087
N/A
N/A
$91,963
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,457
N/A
N/A
$37,152
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a La Liga soccer match between RCD Mallorca and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure contains a fundamental logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Espanyol win, Mallorca win, draw) are programmed to resolve to Yes, making the markets unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically consistent and mutually exclusive.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group due to the logical error. Polymarket offers three properly structured binary markets that correctly distinguish between Mallorca win, Espanyol win, and draw outcomes. Resolve using Polymarket sources only.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets resolve to Yes regardless of match result. The market states: If Espanyol wins then Yes, if Mallorca wins then Yes, if Tie then Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome triggers the same resolution.
  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets with consistent logic: Draw market (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Mallorca Win market (Yes if Mallorca wins, No otherwise), Espanyol Win market (Yes if Espanyol wins, No otherwise). Each outcome maps to exactly one resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.