TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Volume:
$2,145,290
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga soccer match between RCD Mallorca and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a fundamental logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Espanyol win, Mallorca win, draw) are programmed to resolve to Yes, making the markets unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically consistent and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group due to the logical error. Polymarket offers three properly structured binary markets that correctly distinguish between Mallorca win, Espanyol win, and draw outcomes. Resolve using Polymarket sources only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets resolve to Yes regardless of match result. The market states: If Espanyol wins then Yes, if Mallorca wins then Yes, if Tie then Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome triggers the same resolution.
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets with consistent logic: Draw market (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Mallorca Win market (Yes if Mallorca wins, No otherwise), Espanyol Win market (Yes if Espanyol wins, No otherwise). Each outcome maps to exactly one resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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