TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - More Markets

Volume:
$265,823
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a La Liga match between RCD Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score propositions across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official laliga.com final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with matching edge-case handling for postponements, cancellations, and source fallbacks.

Primary resolution logic:

Official final score published on laliga.com; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources

Core resolution logic:

  • Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5) resolves YES if Mallorca wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5) resolves YES if Mallorca wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Spread: Rayo Vallecano (-1.5) resolves YES if Vallecano wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Spread: Rayo Vallecano (-2.5) resolves YES if Vallecano wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
  • Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2; Under if < 2
  • Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3; Under if < 3
  • Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4; Under if < 4
  • Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5; Under if < 5
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes if each team scores >= 1 goal; No if either team scores 0

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; no early resolution
  • Game Cancellation (No Make-up): All markets resolve 50-50
  • Game Started but Not Completed: Resolution uses official final score from laliga.com for the completed portion; applies to all market types
  • Source Unavailability: If laliga.com does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback
  • Time Scope: All markets reference only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded

Timing:

Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official laliga.com statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is used as fallback. Postponed games remain open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.