TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether there will be less than or equal to zero goals scored in the upcoming Ligue 1 football match between RC Strasbourg Alsace and Racing Club de Lens. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, over/under 0.5 goals, stands at 96.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Predict, with resolution based on official statistics from Ligue 1 as published on ligue1.com. The key catalyst to monitor is the match scheduled for August 29, 2026, which will determine the final outcome. The second outcome, both teams to score in the first half, has a probability of 0.1%.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for August 29 at 11:15 AM ET.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for August 29 at 11:15 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced probabilities rather than set odds. In this market, traders continuously update prices based on new information, news, and team form, which can make implied chances more volatile. Sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like margin preferences, leading to systematic gaps between the two pricing models.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user trading activity, while Predict may use different liquidity models or user bases. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For the Strasbourg vs. Lens match market, factors like differing trader sentiment, regional support for teams, and varying market depths can create gaps between the two platforms. Additionally, each venue may have unique listing structures or fee schedules that influence pricing dynamics. These variations mean that Polymarket and Predict can show distinct probabilities for the same event, reflecting diverse market participant perspectives.