TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Paris Saint-Germain FC will score over or under 1.5 goals in the second half of their Ligue 1 match against RC Strasbourg Alsace. Currently, the probability of Paris Saint-Germain FC scoring over 1.5 goals in the second half on Polymarket is 100.0%. The resolution source for this market is the official Ligue 1 website, https://www.ligue1.com/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match on October 17 at 11:15 AM ET, as that will begin the event window for determining the outcome of this market.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 17 at 11:15 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Strasbourg vs. PSG match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable would likely have a significant impact. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams could also affect sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could trigger price movements, as others react to their actions.