TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC
kalshi
polymarket

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC

Volume:
$706,956

Draw (RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,111
N/A
N/A
$5,315
Settled
Yes
polymarket

RC Strasbourg Alsace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$386,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Strasbourg Alsace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,137
N/A
N/A
$45,902
Settled
No
polymarket

Paris FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Paris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,066
N/A
N/A
$8,117
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between RC Strasbourg Alsace and Paris FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (Strasbourg win, Paris win, draw) evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes as independent Yes-resolving conditions, creating structural ambiguity. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with clear mutual exclusivity. Both platforms agree on match scope (90 min + stoppage), source (official Ligue1.com), and postponement/cancellation handling, but differ in market architecture.Hero tip: Interpret Kalshi's three conditions as a single categorical outcome market where exactly one resolves Yes. Cross-reference both platforms against Ligue1.com official match statistics. If Strasbourg wins, only Kalshi condition 1 and Polymarket Strasbourg market resolve Yes. If Paris wins, only Kalshi condition 2 and Polymarket Paris market resolve Yes. If draw, only Kalshi condition 3 and Polymarket draw market resolve Yes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Presents three conditions as independent Yes resolutions: Strasbourg win → Yes, Paris win → Yes, Tie → Yes. This is structurally ambiguous since only one outcome occurs. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excludes extra time and penalties.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with clear mutual exclusivity: Strasbourg win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Paris win (Yes/No). Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves No (or Yes for draw market). Primary source: Ligue1.com official statistics within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.