TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC
Volume:
$706,956
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between RC Strasbourg Alsace and Paris FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of match outcomes (Strasbourg win, Paris win, draw) evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes as independent Yes-resolving conditions, creating structural ambiguity. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with clear mutual exclusivity. Both platforms agree on match scope (90 min + stoppage), source (official Ligue1.com), and postponement/cancellation handling, but differ in market architecture.Hero Tip:
Interpret Kalshi's three conditions as a single categorical outcome market where exactly one resolves Yes. Cross-reference both platforms against Ligue1.com official match statistics. If Strasbourg wins, only Kalshi condition 1 and Polymarket Strasbourg market resolve Yes. If Paris wins, only Kalshi condition 2 and Polymarket Paris market resolve Yes. If draw, only Kalshi condition 3 and Polymarket draw market resolve Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Presents three conditions as independent Yes resolutions: Strasbourg win → Yes, Paris win → Yes, Tie → Yes. This is structurally ambiguous since only one outcome occurs. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excludes extra time and penalties.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with clear mutual exclusivity: Strasbourg win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Paris win (Yes/No). Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves No (or Yes for draw market). Primary source: Ligue1.com official statistics within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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