Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 22, 2026, with identical treatment of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body (FFF - Fédération Française de Football) or consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
The three markets (Strasbourg win, Nice win, Draw) are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive — exactly one will resolve YES based on the 90-minute match outcome.
If Strasbourg wins, the Strasbourg market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO.
If Nice wins, the Nice market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO.
If the match ends in a draw, the Draw market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the Draw market resolves YES (Polymarket) and the Strasbourg/Nice win markets resolve NO (Polymarket); Kalshi treats all outcomes as YES (match completion rule applies universally).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: Polymarket specifies that if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's structure (all three outcomes resolve YES) creates a logical inconsistency in the cancellation scenario, though this is unlikely given the professional Coupe de France context.
Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open if the match is postponed. Resolution is deferred until the match is actually played, with no time limit specified for rescheduling.
Resolution Source Timing: Polymarket allows up to 2 hours after match conclusion for official FFF statistics before falling back to credible reporting consensus. Kalshi does not specify a timing window, creating minor ambiguity in edge cases of delayed official reporting.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 22, 2026, with official FFF statistics as the primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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