This event group covers a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) match between RC Deportivo La Coruña and Granada CF scheduled for March 8, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: Granada win, draw, and Deportivo win, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves Yes on cancellation, while Kalshi provides no cancellation resolution logic. This creates ambiguity for the edge case of a canceled match with no rescheduling.
Hero Tip:
The core match outcome logic (90 minutes plus stoppage time, official La Liga 2 sources) is consistent across platforms. The divergence is limited to the cancellation edge case. For normal match completion, all markets align. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders are protected (draw resolves Yes), but Kalshi traders face uncertainty. Recommend confirming Kalshi's cancellation policy with their support team before March 8, 2026.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Granada Win (Yes if Granada wins), Draw (Yes if draw), Deportivo Win (Yes if Deportivo wins). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation with no make-up resolves Draw market to Yes; other markets resolve No on cancellation. Primary source: official La Liga statistics or credible consensus if not published within 2 hours.
Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets presented as: Deportivo Win (Yes), Tie (Yes), Granada Win (Yes). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; structure implies one outcome must occur but does not address the no-rescheduling scenario.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.