TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Real Madrid
all
4 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Limitless
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Closed: Aug 12, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Real Madrid will win the upcoming match against RC Deportivo De La Coruna. The aggregated consensus probability for Real Madrid winning stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Predict, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body. The critical date to monitor is August 12, 2026, when the match is scheduled to conclude and the betting period ends.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms agree on resolving based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with specific handling for cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallbackCore resolution logic:
- Resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts
- If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game: Deportivo La Coruna win markets resolve No, Real Madrid win markets resolve No, draw markets resolve Yes (except Kalshi where all three resolve Yes)
- Postponements keep markets open until the game is completed
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Cancellation with no make-up game: Deportivo La Coruna win markets resolve No; Real Madrid win markets resolve No; draw markets resolve Yes (except Kalshi where all three resolve Yes)
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 12, 2026 between RC Deportivo De La Coruna and Real Madrid.
Kalshi
The event determines the winner of a professional Club Friendlies soccer match scheduled for August 12, 2026, between Deportivo De La Coruna and Real Madrid, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Deportivo De La Coruna, a win for Real Madrid, or a tied result. If the match concludes with a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original, all markets will resolve to a fair price as defined by the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the stated time parameters, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or associated entities.
Predict
This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 12, 2026 between RC Deportivo De La Coruna and Real Madrid.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 12, 2026, 19:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because each platform attracts distinct user bases and may have different liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to variations in how quickly new information is priced in or how broadly bets are distributed across outcomes. For this market, such differences mean the two venues can show noticeably different probabilities at any given moment.