TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether any of a large group of professional golfers will shoot a better-than-expected score in Round 1 of the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, with each player having an individualized threshold that varies based on their skill level and ranking. The market aggregates these 74 separate conditions, resolving to Yes if at least one participant beats their assigned scoring target during the first round of the tournament.
Resolution is based on the stroke count recorded by each golfer during Round 1 of the 2026 RBC Canadian Open. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific golfer and stroke threshold. Outcomes resolve to Yes if the golfer records fewer strokes than the stated threshold (thresholds range from 66.5 to 73.5 strokes depending on the golfer). If a golfer does not complete Round 1, that market will resolve to a fair market price at the time of withdrawal. Kalshi is not affiliated with the PGA.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust for liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For RBC Canadian Open Round 1 scores, you may notice prediction markets react faster to breaking news—weather delays, player withdrawals, or course conditions—than sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree, offering insight into potential value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, RBC Canadian Open Round 1 score outcomes are priced as binary or multi-outcome contracts reflecting the probability traders assign to each result. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced, with the market price converging toward true probability as new information arrives. Kalshi's order-book model allows limit orders and real-time price discovery, so Round 1 score odds adjust continuously as players' performances unfold and market participants update their forecasts.
The RBC Canadian Open Round 1 Scores market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after all Round 1 play concludes and official scoring is confirmed. Resolution is determined by the final, verified scores posted by the PGA Tour for each player or outcome specified in the market. Once the tournament's official results are published and any scoring corrections are finalized, the prediction market settles based on which outcome occurred. Traders should monitor PGA Tour communications and leaderboards as Round 1 progresses to track real-time score updates leading to resolution.
Several catalysts can shift RBC Canadian Open Round 1 score odds before resolution. Weather changes—rain, wind, or temperature swings—alter course difficulty and player performance expectations. Player withdrawals, injuries, or illness remove competitors or change field dynamics. Real-time leaderboard updates during Round 1 play are the primary driver, as traders react to each hole's results and cumulative scores. Course conditions reports, caddie changes, or equipment issues can also influence odds. Major upsets or standout performances by favorites or longshots will trigger rapid repricing as market participants reassess probabilities based on live evidence.