TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between RB Ōmiya Ardija and Ventforet Kōfu, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "RB Ōmiya Ardija" if RB Ōmiya Ardija are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ventforet Kōfu" if Ventforet Kōfu are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between RB Ōmiya Ardija and Ventforet Kōfu, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "RB Ōmiya Ardija" if RB Ōmiya Ardija are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ventforet Kōfu" if Ventforet Kōfu are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Ardija or Kofu will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the match and the potential for either team to break the deadlock.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—RB Ōmiya Ardija or Ventforet Kōfu—scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources. The outcome will be clearly indicated on Polymarket once it has been confirmed, allowing traders to collect any winnings based on their predictions about which team would score first.
Several factors could influence the Ardija vs. Kofu first-to-score market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning streak or a string of losses, could also shift trader sentiment. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any updates on tactical approaches or predicted starting lineups could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over the other, and therefore impacting trading activity on Polymarket.