TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks about which team, RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV, will score more goals in the second half of a Bundesliga match, or if they will draw. It focuses solely on goals scored during the second half of regular play, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig score more goals than Hamburger SV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV score more goals than RB Leipzig in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig score more goals than Hamburger SV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hamburger SV" if Hamburger SV score more goals than RB Leipzig in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals with skin in the game. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The efficiency of prediction markets means that odds tend to be highly informative and can even be predictive of the actual event outcome.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict for the RB Leipzig vs. Hamburger SV second half can arise from several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to distinct market interpretations. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on Polymarket and Predict can contribute to price discrepancies. These variations reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the diverse perspectives of traders.