TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg
polymarket
kalshi

RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg

Volume:
$1,318,773

RB Leipzig

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 9:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

RB Leipzig

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$627,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leipzig

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$169,192
N/A
N/A
$111,843
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Augsburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,215
N/A
N/A
$92,734
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Augsburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$167,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,990
N/A
N/A
$42,109
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Bundesliga match between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether the match ends in a draw, whether Leipzig wins, and whether Augsburg wins. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's cancellation logic is internally contradictory: the draw market resolves YES on cancellation while the win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance at all, leaving the fate of all three markets undefined if the game is canceled with no make-up.Hero tip: This divergence creates settlement risk. If the game is canceled, Polymarket traders face a logical trap where the draw market and win markets cannot all resolve consistently. Kalshi traders face complete ambiguity. Seek explicit cancellation rules from both platforms before trading, and consider avoiding these markets until clarification is provided.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Provides explicit but contradictory cancellation logic. Draw market: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Win markets: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' This creates a logical impossibility where all three outcome markets cannot resolve consistently.
  • Kalshi: Provides no cancellation clause. Markets state 'If [outcome] wins... then the market resolves to Yes' but do not address postponement or cancellation scenarios. This leaves the resolution path undefined if the game is canceled or indefinitely postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.