TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
RB Fantasy Football Week 2 Top 5?
kalshi

RB Fantasy Football Week 2 Top 5?

Volume:
$7,829

Christian McCaffrey

 - Kalshi

Christian McCaffrey - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,731
N/A
N/A
$1,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenneth Walker

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,255
N/A
N/A
$1,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$694
N/A
N/A
$631
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jahmyr Gibbs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$445
N/A
N/A
$440
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Cook III

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bijan Robinson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
$1,119
Settled
No
kalshi

Bhayshul Tuten

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$661
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
No
kalshi

Derrick Henry

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
$254
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyren Williams

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
kalshi

J.K. Dobbins

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
No
kalshi

Saquon Barkley

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
kalshi

TreVeyon Henderson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Brown

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Etienne Jr.

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

De'Von Achane

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Cam Skattebo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Javonte Williams

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

Omarion Hampton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Chuba Hubbard

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

David Montgomery

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Breece Hall

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This set of markets evaluates whether specific running backs will rank among the top five scorers in fantasy football points during Week 2 of the 2026 NFL regular season. Rankings are determined using standard full-PPR scoring rules, which reward receptions and yardage at a rate of 0.1 points per yard and include points from all eligible running backs, even those not explicitly listed in individual markets.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 2 of the 2026 NFL regular season, including overtime. Rankings consider all eligible running backs, regardless of whether they have an individual market. Players who do not participate in the week are treated as having scored zero points. If multiple players tie for the fifth position, contracts for all tied players settle at an equal fraction (1/N) of the total payout, where N is the number of tied players. Scoring follows Sleeper's standard full-PPR format, with points awarded for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive performances as detailed in the secondary rules.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL fantasy football market tracks the current odds for the top 5 players, the 24-hour trading volume of $1,609, and the total volume traded to date of $7,829. You can also view a price history chart to see how the probabilities have shifted over time. This allows traders to analyze market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the top performers will land in fantasy football rankings.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that differs from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly early in the season, as this market can react quickly to new information and adjust probabilities based on evolving player performance and injury reports. Polls and analysts may also offer different perspectives, but this market provides a continuously updated, financially incentivized forecast.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a particular player will be in the top 5. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast.

This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL fantasy football top 5 players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on standard fantasy football scoring rules and rankings from a widely recognized source. The final standings will determine which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will reflect the price of the contract at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor the official NFL fantasy football results to understand the final outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key players can dramatically alter perceived rankings. Unexpected breakout performances from lesser-known players could also shift probabilities. News regarding player trades, coaching changes, or changes to fantasy football scoring rules could also influence trading activity. Additionally, weekly game results and expert analysis will contribute to evolving market sentiment, potentially leading to substantial price movements before Sep 22, 2026.