TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Thai League 1 soccer match between Rayong FC and Ratchaburi. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi professional Thai League 1 soccer match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Rayong FC wins under Rule 1, Ratchaburi wins under Rule 2, or the match ends in a tie under Rule 3, all evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Rayong vs Ratchaburi match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Rayong vs Ratchaburi match—whether Rayong wins, Ratchaburi wins, or the game ends in a draw—will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league and widely reported by reputable sports news sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders' expectations. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or positive/negative performance in recent matches, will likely cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.