TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Samsunspor.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 19, 2026, using the same primary source (UEFA/governing body official statistics) and applying identical logic across all three possible outcomes.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from UEFA or the governing body/event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Rayo Vallecano win, Samsunspor win, or draw.
- Polymarket markets resolve YES/NO individually for each outcome; Kalshi markets resolve YES if that specific outcome occurs.
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets do not resolve (no outcome occurs).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (treated as a draw outcome) while both win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's outcome markets would have no resolution path under this scenario.
- Resolution Timing: Primary resolution source is official UEFA/governing body statistics. If not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by UEFA or the governing body. If official statistics are not available within 2 hours post-match, resolution is based on consensus of credible reporting sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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