TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a La Liga soccer match between Rayo Vallecano and RCD Espanyol. It considers goals scored in the second half, including stoppage time, and offers options for either team winning or a draw.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid score more goals than RCD Espanyol de Barcelona in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona score more goals than Rayo Vallecano de Madrid in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid score more goals than RCD Espanyol de Barcelona in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona score more goals than Rayo Vallecano de Madrid in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol second half can be attributed to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk tolerance. Polymarket might attract more informed traders specializing in soccer, while Predict could have a broader audience with varying levels of expertise. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $5,231 overall—influences price discovery. These variations highlight the importance of comparing prices across multiple prediction markets to identify potential arbitrage opportunities.