TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of Rayo Vallecano de Madrid scoring over 1.5 goals in the second half of their match against RCD Espanyol de Barcelona. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on official final scores reported by laliga.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the events occurring during the game with a resolution date estimate of September 15, 2026.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 15 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 15 at 1:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission, prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs, potentially resulting in more efficient price discovery for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Espanyol match.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with differing opinions and risk tolerances, which influences trading activity. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume can vary significantly between Polymarket and Predict, leading to price discrepancies. Different fee structures and platform-specific rules can also contribute to these variations. These differences reflect the independent nature of each market, even when tracking the same underlying event – the Rayo Vallecano vs. Espanyol match.