TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona" if RCD Espanyol de Barcelona are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a share effectively represents the market’s forecast for that outcome, and the total volume traded indicates the level of confidence behind that forecast. The market’s efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, Rayo Vallecano or Espanyol, scores the first goal during the first half of the match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable result for all traders.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Rayo Vallecano or Espanyol would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, might play a role. Finally, any pre-match analysis from respected football commentators or analysts could sway the market as traders incorporate that information into their predictions.