TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF
polymarket
kalshi

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF

Volume:
$1,544,243

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

 - Polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,322,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elche CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vallecano wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,539
N/A
N/A
$8,222
Settled
No
kalshi

Vallecano wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,372
N/A
N/A
$1,955
Settled
No
kalshi

Elche wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,438
N/A
N/A
$1,834
Settled
No
kalshi

Elche wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
$460
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Elche CF scheduled for April 3, 2026. Three binary markets track the possible outcomes: Elche CF win, Rayo Vallecano win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the final result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, using official La Liga statistics as the primary source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three binary markets (Elche win, Draw, Rayo win) covering all possible match outcomes, while Kalshi offers four goal-differential markets (Elche >2.5, Elche >1.5, Rayo >2.5, Rayo >1.5) that resolve independently based on margin thresholds. The platforms use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes.Hero tip: If you trade on Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes). On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if Rayo wins 3-0, both 'Rayo >2.5' and 'Rayo >1.5' resolve YES). Do not assume Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive like Polymarket's.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Elche win, Draw, Rayo win) where exactly one resolves YES based on the final 90-minute match result. Key quote: 'If Elche CF wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four independent goal-differential markets that can resolve YES or NO in any combination based on whether the winning margin exceeds 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Key quote: 'If Elche wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.