TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF
Volume:
$1,544,243
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Elche CF scheduled for April 3, 2026. Three binary markets track the possible outcomes: Elche CF win, Rayo Vallecano win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the final result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, using official La Liga statistics as the primary source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three binary markets (Elche win, Draw, Rayo win) covering all possible match outcomes, while Kalshi offers four goal-differential markets (Elche >2.5, Elche >1.5, Rayo >2.5, Rayo >1.5) that resolve independently based on margin thresholds. The platforms use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes). On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if Rayo wins 3-0, both 'Rayo >2.5' and 'Rayo >1.5' resolve YES). Do not assume Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive like Polymarket's.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Elche win, Draw, Rayo win) where exactly one resolves YES based on the final 90-minute match result. Key quote: 'If Elche CF wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four independent goal-differential markets that can resolve YES or NO in any combination based on whether the winning margin exceeds 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Key quote: 'If Elche wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Vallecano wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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