TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether a safety will be scored in the upcoming NFL game between the Ravens and the Cowboys. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Ravens vs. Cowboys: Safety?”. The resolution source for this market is the official NFL website at https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 27 at 4:25PM ET, as the outcome will depend on whether a safety occurs during live play, and the market will remain open if the game is postponed.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:25PM ET: If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging due to differing information or perspectives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable benchmark for comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; traders who believe an outcome is more likely will bid up the price of shares representing that outcome, while those who believe it is less likely will offer to sell.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ravens-Cowboys game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor the official sources for the game result to understand when the market will be finalized and settled.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Cowboys would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information.