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Raul Rosas Jr vs. Raoni Barcelos: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Raul Rosas Jr vs. Raoni Barcelos?

Volume:
$189,456

Raul Rosas Jr to win in Round 5

 - Kalshi

Raul Rosas Jr to win in Round 5 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 10:54 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Raul Rosas Jr to win in Round 5

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,674
N/A
N/A
$18,496
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Raul Rosas Jr to win in Round 3

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,603
N/A
N/A
$29,221
Settled
No
kalshi

Raul Rosas Jr to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,963
N/A
N/A
$24,058
Settled
No
kalshi

Raoni Barcelos to win in Round 4

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,240
N/A
N/A
$21,887
Settled
No
kalshi

Raul Rosas Jr to win in Round 1

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,036
N/A
N/A
$18,933
Settled
No
kalshi

Raul Rosas Jr to win in Round 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,844
N/A
N/A
$15,318
Settled
No
kalshi

Raoni Barcelos to win in Round 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,318
N/A
N/A
$13,878
Settled
No
kalshi

Raoni Barcelos to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,651
N/A
N/A
$12,097
Settled
No
kalshi

Raoni Barcelos to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,642
N/A
N/A
$10,265
Settled
No
kalshi

Raoni Barcelos to win in Round 2

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,916
N/A
N/A
$8,672
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,568
N/A
N/A
$3,767
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the specific round in which either fighter wins the match through decisive methods such as knockout or submission, or if the fight concludes without a clear victory for either combatant. Bets are placed on whether a particular round will be the decisive point of the contest.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Raul Rosas Jr vs. Raoni Barcelos UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for September 26, 2026, focusing on the round of victory and the manner in which victory is achieved. Each market corresponds to a specific round (Rounds 1 through 5) and a specific winner (Raul Rosas Jr or Raoni Barcelos), resolving to Yes if the designated fighter secures a win via KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification within that round. An additional market resolves to Yes if either fighter wins by decision, or if the result is a Draw or No Contest at the conclusion of the full fight. Across all markets, a technical decision is explicitly treated as a decision outcome rather than a round-specific win, ensuring that such results resolve only the Decision/Draw/No Contest market and do not count toward any round-specific victory markets. These rules collectively provide a structured framework for determining the resolution of each market based on the fight's actual progression and conclusion.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Rosas vs. Barcelos fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $189,456, with $185,647 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard visualizes how traders are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes in this matchup, providing a real-time view of market sentiment. You can see how the probabilities have shifted over time and identify potential trading opportunities based on the evolving consensus.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. However, both sources aim to predict the same event, and comparing them can offer valuable insights. It's common to see prediction markets, especially closer to the event, become more efficient and potentially more accurate than traditional betting markets.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Raoni Barcelos fight, specifically which fighter is declared the winner or if the fight ends in a draw or no contest. The platform will verify the result against established fight records and reporting from reputable sports news sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or significant betting activity at sportsbooks could also impact prices. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning, or the likelihood of a draw or no contest, is likely to move this market. Keep an eye on fight-related news and analysis leading up to Sep 27, 2026.