TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how the upcoming UFC fight between Raul Rosas Jr. and Raoni Barcelos concludes. It covers all possible outcomes, including knockout, submission, decision, or a draw/no contest. The result depends entirely on the official declaration of the fight's finish by UFC officials.
The market resolves based on the official method of finish for the UFC fight between Raul Rosas Jr. and Raoni Barcelos scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the fight ends via knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, decision, or is declared a draw/no contest, the market resolves to Yes. Each potential conclusion type is treated as a distinct resolving condition. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the UFC or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or information that might not be immediately reflected in sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the official result announced by the relevant athletic commission regarding the method by which the fight concludes. This includes whether the fight ends via knockout, submission, or decision, and the official record will be used to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also influence activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities of each finish method. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a knockout, submission, or decision will likely move this market.