TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an AFC Champions League soccer match between Ratchaburi and Shanghai Port, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold within regular time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for victories in the Ratchaburi versus Shanghai Port AFC Champions League match scheduled for September 15, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcome criteria are defined: Ratchaburi winning by more than 2.5 goals, Ratchaburi winning by more than 1.5 goals, Shanghai Port winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Shanghai Port winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The rules explicitly state that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these discrepancies can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, compared to the sportsbook’s initial assessment of the Ratchaburi vs Shanghai Port match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Ratchaburi vs Shanghai Port match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Ratchaburi vs Shanghai Port match as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that might influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions impacting the match could influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market for the Ratchaburi vs Shanghai Port match.