TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Rasisalai United and Lamphun Warriors in Thailand's top league. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends purely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Rasisalai United vs Lamphun Warriors Thai League 1 match scheduled for September 19, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the Rasisalai United market if that team achieves a winning margin, for the Lamphun Warriors market if they secure the victory, and for the Tie market if both teams finish level. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original schedule, all markets resolve at a fair price according to platform guidelines. No outcomes are determined through extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation methods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially when new developments impact the perceived probabilities of outcomes in this match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Rasisalai United will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a constantly updating forecast of the match result.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Rasisalai United versus Lamphun Warriors match in the Thai League. The official match result will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verified information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market leading up to Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity and, consequently, the odds for this match. Unexpected results in other related matches could also indirectly affect the market.