TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of goals more than their opponent. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of a professional Scottish Premiership soccer match based on the goal differential between the two competing teams. Each market resolves based on whether the specified team achieves a win by a margin exceeding the stated goal threshold after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with all resolutions excluding results from extra time or penalty kicks. The markets collectively cover scenarios where either team could win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, allowing for varied betting opportunities on the extent of the victory for either side. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi, aims to reflect the true probability of outcomes as perceived by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-money wagers, potentially revealing discrepancies or insights not immediately apparent in sportsbook pricing. It’s a valuable tool for comparing and contrasting different viewpoints.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment surrounding the Rangers vs Motherwell match.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rangers vs Motherwell match, specifically the final spread as determined by official league sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result. The platform will verify the outcome against widely accepted and publicly available data to ensure a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Rangers or Motherwell would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. Monitoring these signals provides insight into potential market movements and opportunities for informed trading.