TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two rival teams, focusing solely on the result after the standard playing time. It excludes any additional periods such as extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on who wins the match within the regular timeframe, or if it ends evenly.
The event determines the winner of a professional soccer match between two teams after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. If either team secures a victory within this regulated duration, the corresponding market resolves positively. Should the match conclude with an equal scoreline, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The operator emphasizes it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals betting their own capital. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially causing the odds to diverge. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. The market efficiently incorporates information as traders react to news, injuries, or other factors that could influence the result of the Rangers vs Celtic match. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the regulation time moneyline for the Rangers vs Celtic match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Rangers or Celtic would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence the market. Furthermore, major news stories or public statements related to the teams or the match itself could shift trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.