TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Rams Başakşehir FK and Gençlerbirliği SK scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary outcomes for each team's victory and draw results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes a cancellation-resolves-YES clause that contradicts standard sports betting logic and differs from Kalshi's implicit void-on-cancellation approach. This creates settlement risk if the match is canceled without a make-up date.Hero Tip:
Monitor TFF official channels closely. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw holders will receive YES payouts while Kalshi participants face no resolution. Consider hedging across platforms or clarifying cancellation policy with support before April 11, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers three separate binary markets (Gençlerbirliği win YES/NO, Başakşehir win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES.' Resolves based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Primary source is TFF official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.Kalshi:
Offers a single outcome market with three mutually exclusive results: Başakşehir win, Gençlerbirliği win, or Tie. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Resolves based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Implicit assumption is that cancellations follow standard sports betting void protocol (no resolution or market remains open).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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