TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK
Volume:
$282,946
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Rams Başakşehir FK and Beşiktaş JK scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that resolves to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up, while win/loss markets resolve to No. Kalshi does not address cancellation explicitly and treats all three outcomes as Yes-resolving events upon match completion.Hero Tip:
If you are long the draw on Polymarket, a game cancellation is a hidden win condition—unusual compared to typical binary markets. Conversely, Kalshi traders should verify whether the three markets are independent binary events or a mutually exclusive outcome set, as the current language suggests all three could theoretically resolve Yes if the match is played.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Basaksehir win (Yes/No), Besiktas win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). Win/loss markets resolve No on cancellation; draw market uniquely resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up game. All outcomes measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three conditional statements presented as a single event group: if Besiktas wins, resolve Yes; if Basaksehir wins, resolve Yes; if tie, resolve Yes. No explicit cancellation clause. All outcomes measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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