TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:08 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for September 28 at 5:05AM ET: If the Rakuten Monkeys win, the market will resolve to "Rakuten Monkeys". If the Uni-President Lions win, the market will resolve to "Uni-President Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the CPBL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for September 28 at 5:05AM ET: If the Rakuten Monkeys win, the market will resolve to "Rakuten Monkeys". If the Uni-President Lions win, the market will resolve to "Uni-President Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the CPBL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their beliefs directly. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome. Analyzing both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the event's potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of the participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing perceptions of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the CPBL championship will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on official results released by the league organizers. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final standings and the market's payout structure at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance shifts, or significant changes in team strategy could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. News regarding weather conditions that might affect game play, or even public sentiment expressed through media coverage, could also play a role. Major upsets in early games or changes in managerial decisions could also trigger shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.