TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for September 25 at 5:05AM ET: If the Rakuten Monkeys win, the market will resolve to "Rakuten Monkeys". If the Chinatrust Brothers win, the market will resolve to "Chinatrust Brothers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the CPBL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming CPBL game, scheduled for September 25 at 5:05AM ET: If the Rakuten Monkeys win, the market will resolve to "Rakuten Monkeys". If the Chinatrust Brothers win, the market will resolve to "Chinatrust Brothers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the CPBL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a certain outcome. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion, but remember that prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when a large volume of traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as correct predictions yield profits.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the CPBL championship will determine the outcome of this market. The platform will rely on publicly available results to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements from the league to stay informed about the event's progress and the anticipated resolution date. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective evidence.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance shifts, or changes in coaching strategies could all impact the perceived probabilities. News regarding team morale, weather conditions affecting game play, and even significant media coverage could also cause shifts in trading activity. Any developments that alter the competitive landscape of the CPBL championship are likely to be reflected in the market prices as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.