TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 3:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Wildcard Gaming and Spacestation Gaming as part of the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The market asks who will win the match, with potential resolution based on a win for either team, a cancellation, or a postponed match.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Wildcard Gaming and Spacestation Gaming in the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Wildcard Gaming" if Wildcard Gaming win the match against Spacestation Gaming. This market will resolve to "Spacestation Gaming" if Spacestation Gaming win the match against Wildcard Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the indicated team wins the designated North America League Stage 2 2026 match scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 at the specified time. Postponements exceeding 48 hours, pre-play cancellations, or forfeitures before any action trigger a fair market price resolution. If the match starts and is later forfeited, the outcome adheres to the official result declared by the tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. While sportsbooks set odds based on implied probabilities and margins, this market allows traders to directly bet on the likelihood of an outcome, potentially offering different insights into the Rainbow Six Siege match.
Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for Wildcard Gaming or Spacestation Gaming could impact predictions. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early round wins or dominant plays, will likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Major upsets in other matches within the North America League Stage 2 Group Stage could also indirectly affect sentiment and trading volume for this market, as perceptions of team strength evolve.