TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Weibo Gaming and Soul's Heart Esport in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Soul's Heart Esport. This market will resolve to "Soul's Heart Esport" if Soul's Heart Esport win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Weibo Gaming and Soul's Heart Esport in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Soul's Heart Esport. This market will resolve to "Soul's Heart Esport" if Soul's Heart Esport win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to establish prices. This market may reflect sharper or more volatile odds than conventional betting venues, particularly if esports-focused traders have deeper insight into team dynamics. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional and crowd wisdom align or diverge on the outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading this contract. As more capital flows in or out, the price moves to equilibrate supply and demand, ensuring that the market continuously reprices based on new information, team announcements, or shifts in community confidence about the likely winner of this Rainbow Six Siege bout.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result recorded by the Asia Pacific League or the tournament organizer. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new developments emerge. Resolution occurs automatically once the event is finalized and reported through established esports news channels and league databases.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before the match begins. Roster announcements, player injuries, or unexpected roster swaps involving either team would likely trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results or head-to-head records between these squads may also influence trader positioning. Patch updates to Rainbow Six Siege itself could favor one team's playstyle over the other. Media coverage, expert predictions, or community sentiment shifts on social platforms can drive late momentum. Any official statement from team management about preparation or confidence levels may also move this market as the event date approaches.