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402,751

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Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Shifters (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Twisted Minds vs Shifters?

Volume:
$41,106

Twisted Minds

 - Kalshi

Twisted Minds - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 2:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Twisted Minds

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,512
N/A
N/A
$15,386
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shifters

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,986
N/A
N/A
$8,517
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Twisted Minds and Shifters as part of the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and forfeits.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves positively on either team winning, while Polymarket requires predicting the specific winning team.Hero tip: The Kalshi market effectively asks *if* a winner exists, while Polymarket asks *who* the winner is. This means Kalshi will resolve positively on either outcome, while Polymarket requires correctly predicting the winning team. Consider the implied probabilities and your confidence in each team.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Twisted Minds or Shifters). A 50-50 resolution occurs on cancellation or tie. "This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds" if Twisted Minds win the match against Shifters."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Shifters or Twisted Minds wins. "If Shifters wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Twisted Minds wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Twisted Minds and Shifters in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds" if Twisted Minds win the match against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Twisted Minds. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Shifters wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: Shifters vs. Twisted Minds R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Twisted Minds wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: Shifters vs. Twisted Minds R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of either team winning in the Rainbow Six Siege Europe MENA League match between Twisted Minds and Shifters. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a slight edge for one team, though opinions vary. The current volume for this market is $41,106, with $40,856 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects the collective predictions of users on both Polymarket and Kalshi regarding the outcome of this best-of-one match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and adjust prices accordingly, offering a potentially more dynamic view than fixed sportsbook odds.