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24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Twisted Minds vs G2 Esports?

Volume:
$17,664

Twisted Minds

 - Kalshi

Twisted Minds - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Twisted Minds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,116
N/A
N/A
$6,163
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

G2 Esports

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,774
N/A
N/A
$6,962
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Twisted Minds and G2 Esports in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The market resolves based on which team wins the match, with a 50-50 split in the event of a cancellation, tie, or forfeit before the match begins.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution criteria for forfeits and disqualifications. Polymarket awards the win to the remaining team, while Kalshi splits the market.Hero tip: A team withdrawing before the match starts is likely a 50-50 resolution on Kalshi, but a win for the remaining team on Polymarket. Consider this when taking positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If a team wins due to opponent forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the market resolves to the winning team. "If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins."
  • Kalshi: If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market resolves to 50-50. "If Twisted Minds wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: G2 Esports vs. Twisted Minds R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Twisted Minds and G2 Esports in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds" if Twisted Minds win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Twisted Minds. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If G2 Esports wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: G2 Esports vs. Twisted Minds R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Twisted Minds wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: G2 Esports vs. Twisted Minds R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Rainbow Six Siege match between Twisted Minds and G2 Esports. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong consensus, with approximately 96 percent of the volume predicting a specific winner. However, it’s important to note that Kalshi may present a different view. The total volume traded across both platforms is $17,664, and the 24-hour volume is $16,073, indicating the level of interest in this particular contest. This allows for a cross-platform view of market sentiment regarding the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the probabilities of each team winning. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding team form or player availability. This market provides an alternative way to assess the likely outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform differs – Polymarket currently has a higher volume than Kalshi – which can lead to price discrepancies. Different interpretations of available information, such as team news or player performance, can also contribute to varying probabilities. Finally, the liquidity of each market plays a role; less liquid markets are more susceptible to price swings and may not accurately reflect the true underlying probability of the Rainbow Six Siege match outcome.