TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Fnatic (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs
Volume:
$11,701
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Twisted Minds and Fnatic in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs, scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual game winners, total games played, and game handicap outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi provides minimal edge-case specification for match winner markets, while Polymarket defines comprehensive rules for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, delays, and tie scenarios. Both platforms reference Liquipedia as primary source but differ in fallback and contingency logic.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's explicit 50-50 resolution for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, and forfeits before match start provides superior clarity. Kalshi's lack of tie/cancellation rules creates settlement risk. Monitor Liquipedia.net/rainbowsix for official results; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible video evidence and consensus reporting apply on both platforms. Prioritize Polymarket markets for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Match winner markets (Fnatic or Twisted Minds) resolve to Yes if either team wins, with no explicit handling of cancellations, forfeits, delays, or ties. Resolution logic is binary and does not address contingencies. Quote: 'If Fnatic wins the Europe MENA League Kickoff 2026: Fnatic vs. Twisted Minds R6 match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Comprehensive edge-case rules: resolves 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without winner. Forfeits/walkovers before match start = 50-50; forfeits/walkovers during match = team that wins. Clinching game forfeits count as completed match. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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