TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Secret and Twisted Minds in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B, scheduled for March 30, 2026. The match is a best-of-one (BO1) format, and prediction markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on which team will win.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible match outcomes (Twisted Minds win OR Team Secret win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. It is logically broken and cannot settle correctly. Trade exclusively on Polymarket, which uses proper binary logic: Team Secret win resolves to Team Secret, Twisted Minds win resolves to Twisted Minds. Always verify final results on Liquipedia within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Twisted Minds wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Team Secret wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible.Polymarket:
Clear binary resolution: Team Secret win → Team Secret, Twisted Minds win → Twisted Minds. Cancellations, ties, forfeits before start, or delays beyond 7 days → 50-50. Forfeits/disqualifications during play → winning team. Primary source: Liquipedia within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting with video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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