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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Rainbow Six Siege: Team Secret vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Rainbow Six Siege: Team Secret vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B

Volume:
$28,845

Twisted Minds

 - Kalshi

Twisted Minds - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Twisted Minds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,251
N/A
N/A
$8,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Secret

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,041
N/A
N/A
$12,649
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Secret and Twisted Minds in the Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B, scheduled for March 30, 2026. The match is a best-of-one (BO1) format, and prediction markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on which team will win.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible match outcomes (Twisted Minds win OR Team Secret win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. It is logically broken and cannot settle correctly. Trade exclusively on Polymarket, which uses proper binary logic: Team Secret win resolves to Team Secret, Twisted Minds win resolves to Twisted Minds. Always verify final results on Liquipedia within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Twisted Minds wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Team Secret wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible.
  • Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: Team Secret win → Team Secret, Twisted Minds win → Twisted Minds. Cancellations, ties, forfeits before start, or delays beyond 7 days → 50-50. Forfeits/disqualifications during play → winning team. Primary source: Liquipedia within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting with video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.