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Rainbow Six Siege: Team Secret vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Team Secret vs Geekay Esports?

Volume:
$72,836

Team Secret

 - Kalshi

Team Secret - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 6:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Secret

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,273
N/A
N/A
$20,042
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geekay Esports

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,063
N/A
N/A
$18,058
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction market concerns the outcome of a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Secret and Geekay Esports as part of the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage. The market resolves based on which team wins, with a 50-50 split if the match is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market logic incorrectly implies both teams winning resolve the market to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket's resolution criteria, as Kalshi's market appears flawed. Be cautious about trading on Kalshi until the logic is corrected.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Team Secret if Team Secret wins, and to Geekay Esports if Geekay Esports wins. 50-50 split for cancellations or ties. "This market will resolve to "Team Secret" if Team Secret win the match against Geekay Esports."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Team Secret or Geekay Esports wins. This is a logical error as both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value. "If Team Secret wins the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: Geekay Esports vs. Team Secret R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Secret and Geekay Esports in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Secret" if Team Secret win the match against Geekay Esports. This market will resolve to "Geekay Esports" if Geekay Esports win the match against Team Secret. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the named Rainbow Six Siege match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play, markets resolve to the fair market price. If play begins and the match is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from the spread, while prediction markets aim to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s implied probability may differ from sportsbook lines due to varying information and incentives, and can sometimes provide an edge for informed bettors. The current volume of $72,836 suggests considerable interest in this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to variations in how information is interpreted and reflected in the odds. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $72,836 overall—can influence price discovery. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the importance of considering multiple sources of information when evaluating the potential outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege match.

Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Secret or Geekay Esports could significantly shift the odds. Major upsets in other matches within the Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage could also impact perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi, such as a sudden surge exceeding $70,169, could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment among traders, causing the price to move.