TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Liquid and INTZ in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or ends in a tie.
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Liquid and INTZ in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against INTZ. This market will resolve to "INTZ" if INTZ win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if either INTZ or Team Liquid wins the specified Rainbow Six Siege match originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of the original time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege match. Additionally, the specific rules and fees on each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed differences, even though both markets ultimately aim to forecast the same event.