TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rainbow Six Siege: Team Liquid vs INTZ (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Team Liquid vs INTZ?

Volume:
$15,090

Team Liquid

 - Kalshi

Team Liquid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 1:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Liquid

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,551
N/A
N/A
$4,887
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

INTZ

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,433
N/A
N/A
$3,991
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Liquid and INTZ in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage. The markets ask who will win the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket has separate outcomes for each team winning.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is effectively asking if a winner will be determined, while Polymarket asks *who* will win. Consider the likelihood of a forfeit/disqualification when trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Team Liquid if they win, resolves to INTZ if they win. Forfeits/disqualifications by the losing team resolve to 50-50. "This market will resolve to 'Team Liquid' if Team Liquid win the match against INTZ."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Team Liquid or INTZ wins. "If Team Liquid wins the South America League Stage 2 2026: INTZ vs. Team Liquid R6 match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Liquid and INTZ in the South America League Stage 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against INTZ. This market will resolve to "INTZ" if INTZ win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either INTZ or Team Liquid wins the specified Rainbow Six Siege match originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of the original time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate the insights of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information or changing sentiment. The current volume of $15,090 suggests active trading and a potentially refined estimate compared to initial sportsbook offerings for this Rainbow Six Siege match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Rainbow Six Siege match. Additionally, the specific rules and fees on each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed differences, even though both markets ultimately aim to forecast the same event.